Purpose of the Paper
This paper presents an innovative application of AI—declarative constraint modelling—to analyze deep contradictions in contemporary public policy. Two of the most pressing challenges facing the study of public administration in the modern era are the rapid rise of artificial intelligence and the erosion of the postwar free trade consensus, particularly in the United States. These twin shocks are fragmenting the policy-making process, creating conflicting institutional responsibilities, and undermining the discipline's dominant governance paradigms. We show how AI-based declarative modelling provides a new tool to represent, simulate, and evaluate policy processes in such fractured environments.
Research Approach and Methods
We model the ideological and policy conflict between two dominant but incompatible policy paradigms in recent U.S. trade governance: one grounded in liberal internationalism and open-market integration, the other rooted in economic nationalism and strategic protectionism. Drawing from speeches, legislation, and strategic policy documents (2016–2024), we encode each paradigm’s assumptions, goals (e.g. efficiency vs. sovereignty), institutional mandates (e.g. WTO rules vs. national security exceptions), and accountability structures. Using declarative modelling and Answer Set Programming (ASP), we simulate which combinations of assumptions, institutional roles, and policy actions produce internally consistent traces, and which lead to contradiction, deadlock, or drift.
Main Findings and Implications
Our model reveals that the opposing policy orientations are not merely ideological but are structurally valid within different, yet mutually exclusive, constraint systems. Much like two architects designing buildings under different building codes, each approach yields a coherent design, but the rules they follow are incommensurable. Declarative AI modelling enables public administration scholars to trace not only what policies are possible, but also under which assumptions and institutional conditions they make sense. This opens new space for evidence-based adjudication between rival policy logics—by showing, for example, which constraint systems better support long-term coherence, institutional accountability, or democratic legitimacy. More broadly, the paper advocates for AI-based declarative modelling as a vital method for navigating the non-linear, contradictory, and multi-agent challenges that now define effective public governance.
References
Simon, H. A. (1996). The Sciences of the Artificial. MIT Press.
Zuboff, S. (2019). The Age of Surveillance Capitalism. PublicAffairs.
Rodrik, D. (2018). Straight Talk on Trade: Ideas for a Sane World Economy. Princeton University Press.
Kuttner, R. (2018). Can Democracy Survive Global Capitalism? W. W. Norton.