Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Program and schedule of sessions are subject to change.
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Session Overview
Date: Thursday, 21/Mar/2024
8:00am
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9:00am
Early-Career Breakfast
Location: ESA-Ost 121*
Career Breakfast for Early Career Researchers As part of the annual conference of the German Demographic Society, we cordially invite all early career researchers to a career breakfast. Seize the opportunity to discuss, in a relaxed atmosphere over coffee, tea, and croissants, the wide array of opportunities and challenges that arise after completing your studies, especially following a doctorate. Prof. Dr. Stefanie Möllborn will provide insights into her current and past work at the University of Stockholm and the University of Colorado Boulder. Dr. Sebastian Klüsener will discuss his professional experiences and introduce his current position as Research Director at the Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) in Wiesbaden. The breakfast is organized by Dr. Annelene Wengler from the Robert Koch Institute and Dr. Sven Drefahl from the University of Stockholm. The primary language of the event will be English. Registration: To participate, please register by sending an...
9:00am
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9:30am
Keynote 2: Fertility and Policy in Germany and the Nordics
Location: ESA-B
Chair: Christina Westphal
 

Rannveig Hart (Norway): Fertility and Policy in Germany and the Nordics

Hart, Rannveig Kaldager

Norwegian Institute of Public Heath, Norway

9:30am
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10:00am
Keynote 3: Challenges to the Implementation of Indexation of Retirement Age
Location: ESA-B
Chair: Christina Westphal
Presenter: Cosmo Strozza (Denmark)
10:00am
-
10:15am
Break
Location: ESA-Ost 221
10:15am
-
11:45am
Session 3A: Social Inequalities in Health and Reproduction (BIOSFER/MaxHel)
Location: ESA-Ost 120
Chair: Christian Dudel
Chair: Rannveig Kaldager Hart
 

A new framework to identify individuals with a disability using linked individual-level register data.

Bister, Lara1,2,3; Balbo, Nicoletta3; Neri, Elena3; Remes, Hanna2,4; Martikainen, Pekka2,4,5

1: Population Research Center (University of Groningen); 2: Max Planck-University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health (University of Helsinki); 3: Dondena Center for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy (University Bocconi); 4: Population Research Unit (University of Helsinki); 5: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research



Crossing borders, bridging health: immigrant health in exogamous marriages, the role of income

Loi, Silvia1,2; Pitkänen, Joonas3; Yang, Isa3; Martikainen, Pekka1,2,3

1: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany; 2: Max Planck – University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health, Rostock, Germany and Helsinki, Finland; 3: Population Research Unit (PRU), University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland



Parental socioeconomic status and timing of puberty: a population-based cohort study within the Danish National Birth Cohort

Thomsen, Anne Hjorth1; Gaml-Sørensen, Anne1; Flatø, Martin2; Håberg, Siri Eldevik2; Myrskylä, Mikko3,4,5; Ramlau-Hansen, Cecilia Høst1

1: Department of Public Health, Research Unit for Epidemiology, Aarhus University, Denmark; 2: Centre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute for Public Health, Oslo, Norway; 3: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, German; 4: Center for Social Data Science and Population Research Unit, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; 5: Max Planck – University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health, Rostock, Germany and Helsinki, Finland



The changing social gradient in age at menarche across cohorts and generations in Norway

Flatø, Martin1; Lee, D. Susie2

1: Center for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway; 2: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany

Session 3B: Pension Reforms in the Nordic Countries and Germany
Location: ESA-Ost 121
Chair: Philipp Deschermeier
Chair: Christina Wilke
 

Pension Reforms in the Nordic Countries and Germany

Palmer, Edward

Uppsala Center for Labor Studies and Department of Economics, Germany



Expected effective retirement age and exit age in the Nordic countries

Vidlund, Mika, Antero; Kannisto, Jari, Antero

Finnish Centre for Pensions, Finland



Increasing Statutory Retirement Age and Labor Market Outcomes: The Effects of the 2017 Pension Reform in Finland

Nivalainen, Satu

Finnish Centre for Pensions, Finland



Nonfinancial Defined Return (NDR) pension framework and a new perspective on pension system sustainability

Drees, Martin

University of Bonn, Germany

Session 3C: Demographic Data and Methods for Western and Northern Europe I
Location: ESA-Ost 123
Chair: Gabriele Doblhammer
Chair: Nico Keilman
Chair: Patrizio Vanella
 

Identification of Unregisterd Emigration in the Norwegian Population Register

Krokedal, Linn; Nergård, Stian; Kvalø, Erling Johan Haakerud

Statistics Norway, Norway



Quality of causes-of-death statistics – ill-defined deaths in Germany from 2012 to 2021

Wengler, Annelene

Robert Koch-Institut, Germany



Hospitalization among Long-Lived Individuals with and without Dementia. A Study based on German Claims Data for the Years 2004 to 2019

Doblhammer, Gabriele

Universität Rostock, Germany



Projecting Work-Life Trajectories and Retirement Expectations at Age 50: Estimates for Germany

Vecgaile, Linda1; Zagheni, Emilio1; Badolato, Luca2; Vecchietti, Luiz Felippe3

1: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Germany; 2: The Ohio State University, Columbus, USA; 3: Institute for Basic Science, Daejeon, Korea, South

11:45am
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12:00pm
Break
Location: ESA-Ost 221
12:00pm
-
1:00pm
Poster Flash Session
Location: ESA-Ost 221
Chair: Sven Drefahl
Chair: Annelene Wengler
Chair: Christina Westphal
No virtual transmission.
 

Do genetic factors drive heterogeneity in mental health trajectories around family transitions?

Dierker, Philipp1,2,3; Gueltzow, Maria1,3,4; Lahtinen, Hannu1,2,3; Kühn, Mine1,3,5; Myrskylä, Mikko1,2,3; Martikainen, Pekka1,2,3

1: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany; 2: University of Helsinki; 3: Max Planck – University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health; 4: University Medical Center Rotterdam; 5: Tilburg University



Drivers of population change in Danish and Swedish municipalities.

Jóhannsson, Óskar Daði; Bergeron Boucher, Marie-Pier

Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics | CPop, Denmark



Stillbirth Rates across Europe. The Importance of Maternal Age and Multiple Pregnancies

Kniffka, Maxi Stella; Schöley, Jonas

Max Planck Institut für demographische Forschung, Germany



Convergence and persistent contrasts in the determinants of working‑age women in Sweden and Japan living alone since the 1990s

Padyab, Mojgan1; Sandström, Glenn1; Noguchi, Haruko2; Fu, Rong2

1: Umea University, Sweden; 2: Waseda University, Japan



Educational Differences in Fertility among Female Same-Sex Couples in Finland

Ponkilainen, Maria1,2; Einiö, Elina1,3; Pietiläinen, Marjut4; Myrskylä, Mikko1,2,3

1: University of Helsinki, Finland; 2: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany; 3: The Max Planck – University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health, Finland and Germany; 4: Statistics Finland, Finland



Immigration Background and the Widowhood Effect on Healthcare Use

Oksuzyan, Anna1; Bohlourihajjar, Soghra1; Li, Peng2; Caputo, Jennifer3; Christensen, Kaare4; Myrskylä, Mikko1

1: School of Public Health, Bielefeld University, Germany; 2: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany; 3: Westat, USA; 4: Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark



The Loneliness of the Afro-diasporic Community in Germany

Diabaté, Sabine1; Kuhnt, Anne-Kristin2

1: Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung, Germany; 2: University of Rostock, Germany



Changing Germany's Statutory Pension Insurance: An Empirical Study of Popular Aversion to Reforms

Schüler, Ruth Maria; Diermeier, Matthias

German Economic Institute (IW)



Population Age Structure Dependency of the Excess Mortality P-score

Ullrich, Niklas1; Schöley, Jonas2

1: University of Rostock; 2: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research



The Effect of Smoking Duration and Intensity on Mortality

Albrecht, Manja1; Rau, Roland1,2

1: University of Rostock, Germany; 2: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

1:00pm
-
1:45pm
Lunch
Location: Mensa
1:45pm
-
2:15pm
Keynote 4: How Covid Pandemic Affected Mortality Rates in Nordic Countries and Germany?
Location: ESA-B
Chair: Frank Swiaczny
 

Keynote 4: How Covid Pandemic Affected Mortality Rates in Nordic Countries and Germany?

Gissler, Mika

THL Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Finland

2:15pm
-
2:45pm
Keynote 5: Using Methods of Machine Learning to Create Databases for (Historical) Demographic research
Location: ESA-B
Chair: Frank Swiaczny
Presenter: Jonas Helgertz (Sweden)
2:45pm
-
3:00pm
Break
Location: ESA-Ost 221
3:00pm
-
4:30pm
Session 4A: European Perspectives on Migration
Location: ESA-Ost 120
Chair: Sonja Haug
 

Drivers of international migration

Heins, Frank; degli Uberti, Stefano

Irpps-Cnr, Italy



The Ukrainian Refugee Situation: Lessons for EU Asylum Policy

Parusel, Bernd

Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies (SIEPS), Sweden



An Assessment of Human Resources of Ukrainian Labour and Forced Migrants in Poland

Grabowska, Izabela

Kozminski University, Center for Research of Social Change and Human Mobility (CRASH), Poland



Fertility and partnership dynamics among refugee women and men from Eritrea and Syria in Germany

Kraus, Elisabeth K.; Milewski, Nadja

Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB), Germany

Session 4B: Fertility in Nordic Countries and Germany I
Location: ESA-Ost 121
Chair: Kateryna Golovina
Chair: Rannveig Kaldager Hart
Chair: Anne-Kristin Kuhnt
 

Fertility or pregnancy rates for understanding the declining fertility?

Lindahl-Jacobsen, Rune1; Beck, Astrid Linnea2; Rizzi, Silvia1; Holmboe, Stine Agergaard2; Skakkebæk, Niels Erik2

1: University of Southern Denmark, Denmark; 2: Department of Growth and Reproduction, Copenhagen University Hospital – Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark



Associations between Covid-19 vaccination and fertility: interrupted time series analyses of birth rates for 22 countries

Jasilioniene, Aiva1; Jasilionis, Domantas1,2; Jdanov, Dmitri1; Myrskylä, Mikko1,2

1: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany; 2: Max Planck – University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health



The Causal Impact of Men or Women’s Job Loss on Fertility: A Couple-Level Analysis through Norwegian Register Data.

Tyagi, Rishabh1,2; Brini, Elisa2; Vignoli, Daniele3

1: MPIDR, Germany; 2: University of Oslo; 3: University of Florence



Does a Civil Service Job Matter? The Effect of Civil Service Employment on the Transition to the First Child for Women and Men in Germany.

Löwe, Paul Severin

State Institute for Family Research at the University of Bamberg (ifb), Germany

Session 4C: Demographic Data and Methods for Western and Northern Europe II
Location: ESA-Ost 123
Chair: Gabriele Doblhammer
Chair: Nico Keilman
Chair: Patrizio Vanella
 

Bayesian mortality modelling with pandemics: a vanishing jump approach

Goes, Julius1; Barigou, Karim2; Leucht, Anne1

1: Otto-Friedrich Universität Bamberg, Germany; 2: Université de Laval



Empirical Prediction Intervals for Forecasts of Nordic Fertility

Duerst, Ricarda1,2; Hellstrand, Julia2; Schöley, Jonas1

1: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany; 2: University of Helsinki, Finland



Probabilistic population and household forecasts in Europe - Twenty years on

Keilman, Nico

University of Oslo, Norway



Disaggregation of National Level Population Projections to Municipal Level Using a Neural Network Approach

Olaya Bucaro, Orlando1; Tamburini, Andrea2; Striessnig, Erich3; Bosco, Claudio4

1: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OeAW, University of Vienna); 2: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OeAW, University of Vienna); 3: University of Vienna, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OeAW, University of Vienna); 4: European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)

4:30pm
-
4:45pm
Break
Location: ESA-Ost 221
4:45pm
-
6:00pm
DGD Awards
Location: ESA-B
DGD Demography-Award and Best-Paper Award
6:00pm
-
6:15pm
-
6:15pm
-
7:00pm
Meeting DGD working groups
Location: ESA-Ost 121*
7:00pm
-
7:15pm
-
7:15pm
-
9:15pm
Conference dinner
Location: Restaurant Parlament

 
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