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FRI 3-1: Household Finance
Time:
Friday, 05/Dec/2025:
2:00pm - 2:55pm
Presentations
Scared Away: Credit Demand Response to Expected Motherhood Penalty in the Labor Market
Darwin Choi1 , Zhenyu Gao2 , Sing-Sen Lam 3 , Tian Li4 , Wenlan Qian5
1 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong S.A.R. (China); 2 Chinese University of Hong Kong; 3 Sun Yat-Sen University; 4 TCL Corporate Research(HK) Co., Ltd; 5 National University of Singapore
In 2016, China shifted from a one-child policy to a two-child policy, increasing female workers’ childbearing responsibilities. Using data from a peer-to-peer lending platform, we find that post-reform loan applications from female college students decrease by 15.6% compared to male students. This decline is more pronounced for long-term large loans and those aimed at human capital investment. Applications drop further after staggered provincial maternity leave extensions and with higher expected motherhood penalties. Our results indicate that female students anticipate worse job prospects, leading to reduced borrowing and lower investment in human capital. Credit supply channels are unlikely driving the results.