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SAT 8-2: ESG
Time:
Saturday, 06/Dec/2025:
3:10pm - 4:05pm
Presentations
Oil-Driven Greenium
Zhan Shi 1 , Shaojun Zhang2
1 Tsinghua University, China, People's Republic of; 2 The Ohio State University
A prevailing view attributes the “greenium”—the cost-of-capital gap between carbon-intensive and greener firms—to climate risks and investor preferences. We challenge this by showing that oil shocks are pivotal: rising prices, driven by sudden disruptions in global oil supply or oil-demand surge, reduce energy firms' cost of capital by enhancing their growth opportunities, creating a divergence from other brown firms. This energyspecific component explains 20% of greenium fluctuations, peaking at 50%. Reassessing events like the Paris Agreement suggests the impact of investor discipline weakens when oil’s role is considered. Overall, markets price climate risks less effectively than assumed.