Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Debt in Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance - 2
Time:
Sunday, 15/Dec/2024:
9:40am - 10:35am

Session Chair: Yoshio Nozawa, University of Toronto
Discussant: Botao Wu, Chinese University of Hong Kong
Location: 9B312 (3rd basement floor, International Hall)


Show help for 'Increase or decrease the abstract text size'
Presentations

Excess Co-movement in Default Risk

Jan Ericsson1, Kristoffer Glover4, Alexandre Jeanneret3, Lucie Lu2

1McGill University; 2University of Melbourne, Australia; 3University of New South Wales; 4University of Technology Sydney

This paper proposes a new explanation for the observed co-movement in default risk across borrowers. In our equilibrium model, a negative idiosyncratic shock to one borrower reduces its creditworthiness but also makes another borrower a relatively larger player in the economy, increasing its systematic risk. This results in higher debt costs for the latter borrower, tilting its decision towards an earlier default, especially when debt needs to be refinanced more rapidly. We thus identify a novel source of endogenous default risk linkages, which cannot be explained by commonality in fundamentals alone. Given the embedded leverage in equity, this model jointly generates positive excess co-movement in default probability, equity excess returns, and equity return volatility, aligning with our empirical evidence across U.S. industries. These results offer important insights into the interplay between credit and equity markets in a multi-borrower economy.


Ericsson-Excess Co-movement in Default Risk-337.pdf


 
Contact and Legal Notice · Contact Address:
Privacy Statement · Conference: SFS Cavalcade Asia-Pacific 2024
Conference Software: ConfTool Pro 2.6.153
© 2001–2025 by Dr. H. Weinreich, Hamburg, Germany